Brazil World Cup Blog

News, analysis, history, and discussion on all things Verde-Amarela

Where Is Brazil Heading Into 2026?

It is February 2026, and the Brazil national team slumbers still through international football’s comically long (northern hemisphere) winter hibernation. The memories of the Seleção’s last games in November have begun to fade; it is still a little too early to be thinking too hard about the upcoming end-of-March games against France and Croatia. And yet, it is beyond time to be worrying about what the heck will happen at the World Cup in June.

More so than in the leadup to any other World Cup I can remember, it is wildly unclear what, if anything, we should expect from Brazil this summer. The entire cycle since Qatar 2022 has been an unmitigated disaster, with the scandal-ridden CBF administration thrusting one incompetent coach after another into the Seleção job1 to the tune of several historic losses—right up until, somehow, just before his rampant corruption and comical mismanagement finally toppled him, federation president Ednaldo Rodrigues actually managed to sign Carlo Ancelotti as Brazil’s new coach.

Signing one of the best coaches of the 21st century understandably lifted the general mood. Brazil’s results have improved since Ancelotti took over, the team officially qualified for the World Cup with games to spare (though things might still have been hairy if not for the expansion of the World Cup to 48 teams, which increased the number of automatic qualifying spots in CONMEBOL from four to six), and the draw put us in a very winnable group with a potentially clear path through the knockout rounds until (checks notes) oh great, a possible quarterfinal rematch with Croatia.

But I want to delay worrying about that for just a little longer. Instead, I’ll be kicking off 2026 by digging into the current state of the Seleção and the burning questions still surrounding the team ahead of the World Cup.

And what better place to begin than:

So how is Carlo Ancelotti doing?

Is it fair to feel a bit concerned?

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Match Threads: Brazil vs. Senegal and Tunisia (Friendlies)

Well, shit. I’ve had very little time to write up match threads for some past FIFA dates, but this week, having just come back from one trip and about to leave for another in a matter of days, I really don’t have time. That might change in time for me to write something more substantial after the Senegal game, but for now, this is all I can give you.

Brazil vs. Senegal

Emirates Stadium, London, England, November 15, 2025

Kickoff: 11:00 AM EST / 1:00 PM BRT / 4:00 PM GMT

US TV/Streaming: BeIN Sports En Español (available on FuboTV and the Spanish Plus package on YouTube TV, among others)


Brazil vs. Tunisia

Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille, France, November 18, 2025

Kickoff: 2:30 PM EST / 4:30 PM BRT / 7:30 PM GMT

US TV/Streaming: BeIN Sports En Español (available on FuboTV and the Spanish Plus package on YouTube TV, among others)

The Squad:

Goalkeepers: Bento (Al-Nassr), Ederson (Fenerbahçe), John (Nottingham Forest).

Defensores: Alex Sandro (Flamengo), Danilo (Flamengo), Caio Henrique (Monaco), Éder Militão (Real Madrid), Fabrício Bruno (Cruzeiro), Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal), Luciano Juba (Bahia), Marquinhos (PSG), Paulo Henrique (Vasco), Wesley (Roma).

Meio-campistas: Andrey Santos (Chelsea), Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle), Casemiro (Manchester United), Fabinho (Al-Ittihad), Paquetá (West Ham).

Atacantes: Estevão (Chelsea), João Pedro (Chelsea), Luiz Henrique (Zenit), Matheus Cunha (Manchester United), Richarlison (Tottenham), Rodrygo (Real Madrid), Vini Jr (Real Madrid), Vitor Roque (Palmeiras).

Match Threads: Brazil vs. South Korea and Japan (Friendlies)

Why am I always so busy during matchweeks? Once again, I barely have time to write anything. Which reminds me: hey, does anyone else have an essay on Brazilian soccer they’re just burning to let out? If so, fill out this form so I can know about it! I’d love to run something more in-depth during these increasingly lengthy periods where I’m busy with other things.

Brazil vs. South Korea

Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul, South Korea October 10, 2025

Kickoff: 7:00 AM EDT / 8:00 AM BRT / 11:00 AM GMT

US TV/Streaming: none 🙁

Likely Starting XI: Bento; Vitinho, Éder Militão, Gabriel Magalhães, Douglas Santos; Casemiro, Bruno Guimarães; Estêvão, Matheus Cunha, Vini Júnior, Rodrygo.

On The Bench: John, Hugo Souza; Caio Henrique, Carlos Augusto, Fabrício Bruno, Lucas Beraldo, Vitinho; André, João Gomes, Joelinton, Lucas Paquetá; Gabriel Martinelli, Luiz Henrique, Richarlison, Igor Jesus.


Brazil vs. Japan

Tokyo Stadium, Tokyo, Japan, October 15, 2025

Kickoff: 6:30 AM EDT / 7:30 AM BRT / 10:30 AM GMT

US TV/Streaming: none 🙁


Notes and Storylines

Again, don’t have much time, but…

  • South Korea have performed legendary giant-killings at the past two World Cups, knocking out Germany in 2018 and then securing their own spot in the knockout stage in 2022 by coming from behind to beat Portugal in the final group game, but they have not given Brazil much trouble at all in recent meetings. Five months before that 2022 World Cup, we beat them 5-1 in a friendly, and then in that World Cup round of 16 we were 4-0 up at halftime. That’s the sort of recent record where we should probably be concerned if we don’t win handily.
  • Japan should give us a tougher test, but I don’t even want to think ahead to Tuesday at this point. Bit of a shame Neymar isn’t fit, actually—if there were any favorable circumstance in which to give him one more chance for Brazil, it’d be against the team he’s scored more goals against for Brazil than any other.
  • That round of 16 game, incidentally, marks the last time Richarlison scored for Brazil—a drought that will soon turn three. But then again, nobody wearing any number with 9 in it has scored for Brazil since Igor Jesus against Chile, a whole year ago.
  • Rodrygo is finally back! I know I’ve griped in the past about his frustrating performances for Brazil, but I am very curious to see how he’ll play in his first Seleção games under Carlo Ancelotti’s tutelage. With Vini seemingly playing through the middle, he’ll even have the rare opportunity to play in his preferred left-wing spot.
  • What is Bento doing starting this game? I’m not following him too closely in Saudi Arabia, but I think that’s fine because he plays in Saudi Arabia! Júlio César, a much more pedigreed goalkeeper, spent the year leading up to the 2014 World Cup playing in MLS and we all know how that turned out. That, and it’s not hard to find instances of Bento fucking something up even in the Saudi League. This flap at air that cost Al-Nassr the Saudi Super Cup final was just two months ago. Oh well—it sounds like Hugo Souza might start vs. Japan since Ancelotti wants to give other goalies a chance in Alisson’s absence, and that’s likely to be a tougher test anyway.

Match Preview: Brazil at Bolivia (World Cup Qualifying 2026)

Brazil vs. Bolivia

Estadio Municipal de El Alto, El Alto, Bolivia, September 9, 2025

Kickoff: 7:30PM EDT / 8:30 PM BRT / 11:30 PM GMT

US TV/Streaming: ViX Deportes ($8.99/month), Fanatiz ($59.99 pay-per-view).

Likely Starting XI: Alisson, Vitinho (Wesley), Fabrício Bruno, Alexsandro, Caio Henrique; Andrey Santos, Bruno Guimarães e Lucas Paquetá; Luiz Henrique, Samuel Lino e Richarlison.

On The Bench: Bento, Hugo Souza; Caio Henrique, Wesley(Vitinho), Marquinhos, Gabriel Magalhães; Jean Lucas, Andreas Pereira (replaces the injured Kaio Jorge); Gabriel Martinelli, João Pedro, Raphinha. (Casemiro is suspended after receiving a yellow card vs. Chile.)


Notes and Storylines

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Match Thread: Brazil vs. Chile (World Cup Qualifying 2026)

I don’t think I’ll have much time to write out a proper preview for this one, so I wanted to make sure to get this out.

Brazil vs. Chile

Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, September 4, 2025

Kickoff: 8:30PM EDT / 9:30 PM BRT / 12:30 AM GMT

US TV/Streaming: ViX Deportes ($8.99/month). Some sources claim it will also be on Peacock ($7.99+/month), but I can’t confirm that.

Likely Starting XI: Alisson, Wesley, Marquinhos, Gabriel Magalhães, Douglas Santos; Casemiro, Bruno Guimarães; Raphinha, Estêvão, João Pedro, Gabriel Martinelli.

On The Bench: Bento, Hugo Souza; Caio Henrique, Vitinho, Alexsandro, Fabrício Bruno; Andrey Santos, Jean Lucas, Lucas Paquetá; Kaio Jorge, Luiz Henrique, Richarlison, Samuel Lino.

What Did The Club World Cup Teach Us About Brazilian Football?

Last December, Botafogo rolled in to what had been known, in years past, as the Club World Cup, having survived a brutal gauntlet of games. Two draws after the year’s last international break had left them tied with Palmeiras with three games to go in the league and a suddenly winner-take-all clash between the two up next on the calendar. They handily beat Palmeiras in Rio, but four days later they had to be in Buenos Aires for the Copa Libertadores final, a product of CONMEBOL restructuring the tournament in 2017 to conclude far later in the year than the previous July-August range. Once again, they handily beat Atlético-MG in that game—something of a shock given that they went down to ten men after just 30 seconds—then returned to Brazil for their final two league games, each just four days after the previous game, each against top-six teams still fighting for a Libertadores spot next season, still needing to win them both to be assured of the title. Botafogo won them both, securing their first Brasileirão title since 1995 to go alongside their first Libertadores trophy ever, and their reward? Fly to Qatar and play Pachuca of Mexico, this time just three days after their last game, in the newly rechristened Intercontinental Cup. The reward for the winner? A match against Al-Ahly of Egypt just three days after that, all for the ultimate prize: the coveted showdown between the best club in Brazil and the best club in Europe.

Did I mention that those two draws after the international break were also three days apart, and thus that Botafogo’s game against Pachuca was going to be their seventh in just 22 days, all of them carrying unbelievably high stakes for the team and thus making it hard to rest any of their regular starters? Did I also mention that Pachuca came into the match having not played a single game in over a month? Perhaps we shouldn’t have been surprised that Botafogo lost handily after falling apart in the second half.

But then again…

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Match Previews: Palmeiras and Fluminense in the Club World Cup Quarterfinals

We were guaranteed one Brazilian club in the Club World Cup quarterfinals, but a second seemed far from certain. That the second one ended up being Fluminense might be the biggest surprise of all.


Fluminense vs. Al-Hilal

Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Florida, July 4, 2025

Kickoff: 3:00PM EDT / 4:00 PM BRT / 7:00 PM GMT

Quick hits: Perhaps Fluminense’s win over Inter Milan wasn’t quite as big an upset as it initially felt like it should be. I stand by my general thoughts before the round of 16 that Flu aren’t nearly as good a team as Flamengo. But while Inter might have just reached the Champions League final, not only did they get blown out in that game, but they spent the Club World Cup dealing with an injury crisis so severe that they sent four players home after the group stage. Bayern Munich may have lost to Inter in the Champions League, but they’re generally healthier right now and are historically much more of a club that you’d expect to show up consistently for any given game.

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Match Previews: Brazilian Clubs in the Club World Cup Round of 16

Brazilian clubs have been flying the flag for non-European teams at the Club World Cup. All four entrants made it out of their groups, Flamengo and Botafogo by securing two of the only three wins over European clubs by the rest of the world. Of the other non-Europeans, only Inter Miami and Monterrey have joined them in the knockout stages. Here are your matchups:

Palmeiras vs. Botafogo

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, June 28, 2025

Kickoff: 12:00PM EDT / 1:00 PM BRT / 4:00 PM GMT

Quick hits: This is probably the best matchup on paper, simply because as an all-Brazilian affair neither side is the significant underdog that Flamengo and Fluminense will be. That, and these two clubs have a history of epic showdowns in recent years. There was Botafogo’s unbelievable collapse from 3-0 up in 2023, which kicked off one of the most spectacular title meltdowns I’ve ever seen, as they choked away a 13-point lead so hard that they didn’t even finish second, they ended the season fifth. The next year, they almost did it again in the Copa Libertadores round of 16, leading 4-1 after 85 minutes of the second leg only to come within a well-spotted handball of throwing the win away. Last November, Botafogo finally won comfortably, a crucial step towards securing the title they had thrown away the year before.

One of these teams will make the quarterfinal against the winner of Benfica vs. Chelsea, and on paper I’d say it’s likely to be Palmeiras. Botafogo may have engineered one of the greatest upsets in recent soccer memory when they beat the newly crowned Champions League winners on the second matchday, but the underlying stats from their group stage are pretty grim. In terms of expected goals, they got trounced, 2.31 to 6.35, and even in their game against the Seattle Sounders they gave up almost double the xG they created. Their strategy against PSG and Atlético Madrid was to defend compactly and hope to strike on the counter, and between Igor Jesus’ deflected goal and PSG’s 4-0 thrashing of Atleti, that was enough to put them in a position to advance on goal difference with anything short of a three-goal loss to the Spaniards on the final matchday.

Still, they’ve been springing surprises so far, and I’ve seen some warning signs from Palmeiras. All tournament long they’ve kind of looked like they don’t know how to shoot, particularly in their first game against Porto where they were the better team but had to settle for a scoreless draw. Add to that how easily Luis Suárez carved them up in the final group game (and that they lost Murilo with one L in the process) and there may be some vulnerability here.


Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich

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Match Threads: Brazil at Ecuador and Brazil vs. Paraguay (World Cup Qualifying 2026)

I’m traveling all weekend, so I may not be able to give more of a match preview than this. But given that this is the first we’ll be seeing of this team under Carlo Ancelotti, maybe it’s better to wait and watch and come back with our takeaways afterward. With any luck, I’ll write up something separate ahead of the Paraguay game, but for now I’m putting them both here.

Brazil vs. Ecuador

Estadio Monumental, Guayaquil, Ecuador, June 5, 2025

Kickoff: 7:00PM EDT / 8:00 PM BRT / 11:00 PM GMT

US TV/Streaming: Fanatiz ($30 pay-per-view)

Possible Starting XI: Alisson; Vanderson, Marquinhos, Alexsandro, Alex Sandro; Casemiro, Bruno Guimarães, Gerson; Estêvão, Richarlison, Vini Jr.

On The Bench: Bento, Hugo Souza; Beraldo, Carlos Augusto, Danilo, Léo Ortiz, Wesley; Andreas Pereira, Andrey Santos, Éderson; Antony, Gabriel Martinelli, Matheus Cunha, Raphinha (suspended for one game).


Brazil vs. Paraguay

Arena Corinthians, São Paulo, June 10, 2025

Kickoff: 8:45PM EDT / 9:45 PM BRT / 12:45 AM GMT

US TV/Streaming: ViX Deportes ($8.99/month)


Notes and Storylines

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Carlo Ancelotti Calls Up His First Brazil Squad

It’s real! It’s real! It’s really, really real! Two days removed from thanking the Santiago Bernabéu crowd after his last Real Madrid game, Carlo Ancelotti arrived in Brazil to announce his first callup for the national team. Here it is:

Goalkeepers: Alisson (Liverpool), Bento (Al-Nassr), Hugo Souza (Corinthians).

Defenders: Alex Sandro (Flamengo), Alexsandro (Lille), Beraldo (PSG), Carlos Augusto (Inter Milan), Danilo (Flamengo), Léo Ortiz (Flamengo), Marquinhos (PSG), Vanderson (Monaco), Wesley (Flamengo).

Midfielders: Andreas Pereira (Fulham), Andrey Santos (Strasbourg), Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle), Casemiro (Manchester United), Éderson (Atalanta), Gerson (Flamengo).

Atacantes: Antony (Betis), Estêvão (Palmeiras), Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal), Matheus Cunha (Wolverhampton), Raphinha (Barcelona), Richarlison (Tottenham), Vini Júnior (Real Madrid).

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